2022 Congressional Midterm Elections Forecast

Kento Yamada (Harvard College) | Gov 1347: Election Analytics

10 Oct 2022

05-The 'Air War'

In addition to incumbency, the strength of candidates’ campaigns has an impact on electoral outcomes. In this blog post...
03 Oct 2022

04-Expert Ratings and Incumbency

Expert Ratings Unlike my models in my previous blogs, which focused exclusively on variables at the national level, org...
26 Sep 2022

03-Polling

The Generic Ballot Studies have suggested that when combined with a few other variables, the generic ballot can help pr...
19 Sep 2022

02-Economy

Voters often look back to the past when deciding who to vote for. In particular, for good or for bad, economic conditio...
15 Sep 2022

01-Introduction

As I prepare to predict the upcoming election, I would like to start my blog series by analyzing past elections. In thi...